Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.683382 0.780737 0.885958 1.007998 1.145510 1.295521 1.471425
2025-03-16 0.549216 0.684964 0.843691 1.042411 1.283927 1.567287 1.924259
2025-03-23 0.459433 0.621064 0.824128 1.096523 1.450723 1.893880 2.488309
2025-03-30 0.373457 0.544742 0.774928 1.104155 1.559699 2.164010 3.021836
2025-04-06 0.315216 0.493416 0.748242 1.134716 1.700421 2.491339 3.672139
2025-04-13 0.256633 0.429911 0.692848 1.114395 1.764923 2.720044 4.214103
2025-04-20 0.224821 0.400620 0.682111 1.156499 1.923886 3.100434 5.017944
2025-04-27 0.199922 0.377503 0.676463 1.204136 2.095510 3.517294 5.922465
2025-05-04 0.173830 0.347219 0.653597 1.218881 2.214021 3.861874 6.749040
2025-05-11 0.150358 0.317098 0.625749 1.219859 2.307507 4.173273 7.551693
2025-05-18 0.130751 0.290528 0.599749 1.219411 2.396605 4.484123 8.382358
2025-05-25 0.115445 0.269614 0.580848 1.228699 2.502916 4.833563 9.312220
2025-06-01 0.103510 0.253854 0.570157 1.253336 2.642902 5.261398 10.433132
2025-06-08 0.090265 0.232656 0.545005 1.245199 2.718031 5.577044 11.379612
2025-06-15 0.082016 0.221367 0.539061 1.275965 2.874312 6.061823 12.692537
2025-06-22 0.071748 0.203138 0.514843 1.263653 2.939558 6.374760 13.701522
2025-06-29 0.065009 0.192442 0.506126 1.284471 3.077372 6.845801 15.068384
2025-07-06 0.056141 0.174262 0.476630 1.252946 3.096064 7.073053 15.959031
2025-07-13 0.052203 0.168838 0.477647 1.294080 3.283174 7.672092 17.677839
2025-07-20 0.048992 0.164847 0.481674 1.343068 3.493879 8.341108 19.603787
2025-07-27 0.044561 0.156283 0.472303 1.356849 3.622342 8.840686 21.205100
2025-08-03 0.040074 0.146565 0.458204 1.356289 3.715597 9.269326 22.686174
2025-08-10 0.036075 0.137519 0.444486 1.354735 3.805957 9.699148 24.206366